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Golden State Warriors at Denver Nuggets odds, picks and prediction – USA TODAY Sportsbook Wire

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The Golden State Warriors (6-5) and the Denver Nuggets (5-6) hook up Thursday for a 10 p.m. ET tip at Ball Arena. Below, we analyze the Warriors-Nuggets NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Warriors at Nuggets: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:35 a.m. ET.

Money line: Warriors +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Nuggets -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Warriors +5.5 (-120) | Nuggets -5.5 (+100)
Over/Under: 227.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

Warriors at Nuggets: Key Injuries

Warriors

F Marquese Chriss (leg) out
F Eric Paschall (illness) probable
F Alen Smailagic (knee) out
G Klay Thompson (Achilles’) out

Nuggets

G Gary Harris (personal) questionable
F Michael Porter Jr. (personal) out
G Greg Whittington (knee) out

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Warriors at Nuggets: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Nuggets 121, Warriors 112

Money line (ML)

The Nuggets (-200) will cost you twice as much as your potential return, which is a little much since the Warriors (+165) have been playing much better than last season, and they’re above .500.

AVOID, and look to the spread instead.

Against the spread (ATS)

The NUGGETS -5.5 (+100) are a strong choice, especially at even money. While the Warriors +5.5 (-120) have failed to cover in consecutive games just once this season, the first three outings. All of those games were on the road, and they’re just 2-2 SU/1-3 ATS in four outings away from the Bay Area this season. While the Warriors are 5-0 ATS in the past five meetings, and the Nuggets are just 1-5-1 ATS in the past seven at home, play Denver due to Golden State’s struggles on the road.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 227.5 (-115) is the way to go, especially after dropping a couple of points. The over has hit in eight of the past 11 meetings in the Mile High City. The Over is also 4-1 in Golden State’s past five after a straight up loss, while hitting in 12 of the past 16 for Denver against teams with a winning overall record. The Over is also an impressive 9-0 in Denver’s past nine while playing on one day of rest.

Hoops Hype: 

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